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Sales management · Forecasting and budgeting

Let each rep forecast their own quarter from the deals they can name.

A bottom-up quarterly sales plan is built from each rep's recent sales and their own list of deals, graded as will close, possible and stretch. The manager adjusts each plan and the owner compares the total with the top-down target. This page covers the rep sheet, the adjustment log and the gap meeting.

Scope, fee, reporting and term are agreed in writing after we have read your brief and spoken to you.

Editorial illustration for Sales forecasting

In one paragraph

A bottom-up quarterly sales plan is built from each rep's recent sales and their own list of deals, graded as will close, possible and stretch. The manager adjusts each plan and the owner compares the total with the top-down target. This page covers the rep sheet, the adjustment log and the gap meeting.

In a Pune industrial-supplies firm the owner announces the April to June target on the first of April. The reps receive it by WhatsApp. Nobody has been asked what is in their pipeline, so nobody owns the number. In the review the reps say the target was unrealistic and the owner says the reps did not try. Both are right, and neither has a document.

The bottom-up plan asks the rep first. Each rep looks at the last six weeks and the last three months of sales, then lists open deals under three grades: will close, possible, and stretch, each with a rupee value. The rep adds how they will deliver it. The sales manager reads each plan and adjusts it, with a written reason.

The owner then lays the total beside the top-down target and decides what to do with the gap. This replaces the target handed down without conversation. It runs on the Indian financial-year quarters, April to June onwards, so it fits the books.

It sits between the annual quota and the monthly attainment dashboard: the quota says what the year needs, this plan says what this quarter looks like from the field.

Where this sits

Topic 10 of 14 in sales management: forecasting and budgeting. Estimating sales and spend for the next period and checking against actuals.

The topic before
Quotas and targets
The topic after
Territory management

If you want this done for you

The forecast is a feeling, not a number anyone can defend to the owner.

The work

What this is actually like.

  • “Commit, possible and stretch must mean different things”

    Define the grades before the reps use them. A will-close deal has a named decision-maker, a quote sent and a date. Possible has interest but no date. Stretch needs something to change. If a rep grades everything as will-close, the plan is a wish list.

  • “Beat-based reps need secondary sales”

    A rep working distributor beats does not sell to a customer in the usual sense. Base both the six-week and three-month reviews on secondary sales, broken down by beat. Using primary sales shows what the distributor ordered, which may be unrelated to what the shops bought.

  • “The adjustment log is how managers learn”

    When the manager lowers a rep's commit, the reason goes in the log: the rep missed their last two commits, or the customer is known to delay. At quarter end, compare the log with what happened. Over time you learn which adjustments were wise.

  • “A gap with the top-down target is a conversation”

    If the reps total less than the owner's target, do not push the numbers up on the spreadsheet. Ask which deals could move, where more coverage would help, and whether the target itself was set on a wrong assumption.

What we do

What you end up with.

The documents this topic produces, what each one is for, and how you know it is finished.

  1. The rep's run-rate sheet

    Figures for the past six weeks and the past three months, split by customer or by beat, with one-off sales marked. The rep fills it before writing the plan, so the plan starts from what happened.

    Result: Finished when the rep's three-month total matches the sales register.

  2. The graded funnel

    Open deals as rows. Columns: customer, product, rupee value, grade (will close, possible, stretch), next step, date. Subtotal by grade at the bottom. Kept in a shared spreadsheet or in your CRM.

    Result: Finished when every will-close row has a next step with a date.

  3. The rep's quarterly plan

    One page: the quarter's forecast, the deals behind it, and the specific actions the rep will take, such as visits, quotations and follow-ups, to deliver it. Submitted before the quarter starts.

    Result: Finished when each rep has submitted a plan and the manager has read all of them.

  4. The adjustment log

    For each rep, the manager's changed figure and the reason in a line. Compare against the rep's track record and against the best performers in similar territories.

    Result: Finished when each change has a reason a rep could read without feeling accused.

  5. The consolidated forecast and gap note

    Total of the adjusted plans beside the top-down target, the difference in rupees, and the owner's written decision on what to do about it. Share the decision with the team.

    Result: Finished when the team knows the final quarter figure and who agreed it.

Why us

Why owners pick GullySales over an agency.

  • Marketing and sales, as one job

    Most agencies stop at the enquiry. We also fix what happens after it: the reply, the follow-up, the quote and the CRM.

  • The person on the first call does the work

    No account managers in between. You are never handed to someone you have not met.

  • A baseline before anything starts

    Your numbers are written down on day one, so every later report compares against something honest.

  • The fee in writing, split three ways

    Our time, your media spend and production on separate lines. You always see what goes to us.

  • No guarantees we cannot keep

    The term is agreed in writing and never a default twelve months. We never promise a ranking or a lead count, because nobody controls those.

  • One office, and we say so

    Nagarbhavi, Bengaluru. We work across India by call and WhatsApp and travel when a session needs to be in person.

#257, 3rd floor, Sri Nanjundeshwara Complex, Nagarbhavi 8th Block, Outer Ring Road. How we work.

Your brief

Tell us what you need, and we will read it before we call.

Eight short steps about your business, what you want and who decides. Most questions are a tap, and you can skip any you would rather answer on the call.

FAQ

Questions owners ask before they call.

Not here? More answers, or ask on WhatsApp.

Will reps sandbag if they set their own forecast?
Some will. The adjustment log, a comparison with similar territories and the history of past commits keep it honest. If a rep's commits are always met by a wide margin, ask for more next quarter. Do not remove the rep's voice because of it.
What if a rep has no CRM?
A shared spreadsheet works. One tab per rep, same columns, updated by the rep after every customer visit. The discipline of a graded list matters more than the tool. Move to your CRM once the habit is stable and the manager reads it every week.
How long does each plan take?
Plan on under an hour per rep for the first quarter, and less afterwards, as the funnel is already on the sheet. The manager's reading and the owner's consolidation take another afternoon between them.
Should the plan replace the annual quota?
No. The quota is the year's yardstick, the quarterly plan is the near-term forecast. If the plans keep landing below the quota, the quota or the coverage needs attention, and the plan has told you early enough to act.
How much does it cost?
There is no price list, because the work differs by business. The fee is scoped after we have read your brief and spoken to you, and put in writing before anything starts. For sales work it is mostly our time, with production only where scripts, decks or CRM setup need it.
How long is the contract?
The term is agreed in writing after we have spoken, along with the fee and the reporting. It is never a default twelve months, and renewal is decided on the numbers against the baseline recorded at the start.
Who will actually do the work?
The person you speak to before anything starts. We work from one office in Nagarbhavi, Bengaluru, with no account managers in between.
What do you need from us?
To start, last month's enquiries in any format and time with whoever handles them. After that, access to the accounts the work touches, such as the website, Google Business Profile or CRM.
What if we are not happy with the work?
Tell us and the plan changes. Everything is reported against the baseline, so a number that is not moving is visible to both sides. The term is in your written scope, and the refund and cancellation policy sets out the rest.

Your next practical step

Tell us what you are trying to grow, and we will read it before we call.

Eight short steps, mostly taps. Skip anything you would rather answer on the call.